ارائۀ یک روش تصمیم‌گیری گروهی ترکیبی برای بررسی توسعۀ بیودیزل نسل سوم در ایران

نویسندگان

1 گروه مهندسی صنایع، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد علوم و تحقیقات، تهران، ایران

2 گروه مدیریت صنعتی و فناوری اطلاعات، دانشکده مدیریت و حسابداری دانشگاه شهید بهشتی، تهران، ایران

3 دانشکده کارآفرینی، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران

چکیده

افزایش مصرف انرژی و محدود بودن ذخایر سوخت‌‌های فسیلی و آلایندگی آن‌ها باعث کشف منابع انرژی تجدید‌پذیر از جمله سوخت‌های زیستی شده است. بیودیزل را به‌عنوان یک نوع سوخت زیستی می‌توان از منابع مناسبی از جمله میکروجلبک‌ها تولید کرد که امکان کشت آن‌ها در جنوب ایران وجود دارد. لذا برای توسعۀ تولید بیودیزل از این منابع باید استراتژی‌های مناسب تعیین شود. در این مقاله، عوامل استراتژیک در توسعۀ تولید این نوع سوخت در ایران با مطالعه در ادبیات و نظرسنجی از خبرگان تعیین شده و نقاط قوّت، ضعف، فرصت و تهدید (ساختار SWOT) به دست آمده و به کمک آن، استراتژی‌های مناسب (گزینه‌ها) تعیین و با درنظرگیری معیارها (عوامل استراتژیک) و استفاده از یک روش تصمیم‌گیری گروهی در محیط فازی، رتبه‌بندی شده‌اند. برای وزن‌دهی به معیارها دو روش به ترتیب ذهنی و عینی افزایش تحلیل گام‌به‌گام مقیاس ارزیابی وزن (SWARA) و آنتروپی یکپارچه شده‌اند تا قابلیت اطمینان وزن‌دهی افزایش یابد. با رتبه‌بندی استراتژی‌ها به کمک یک رویکرد توسعه‌یافتۀ برنامه‌ریزی خطی عدد صحیح ترکیبی مبتنی بر برنامه‌ریزی آرمانی، تعیین یارانه و سیاست‌های مالیاتی توسط دولت در رتبۀ اول قرار گرفت.

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